| Tittel: | Om flomrisiko og sammenhengen mellom forebygging og beredskap innenfor klimatilpasning | | Ansvar: | Claudia Morsut, Ole Andreas Engen, Bjørn Ivar Kruke | | Forfatter: | Morsut, Claudia  / Engen, Ole Andreas / Kruke, Bjørn Ivar | | Materialtype: | Bokkapittel | | Utgitt: | Oslo : Cappelen Damm Forskning, 2024 | | Omfang: | S. 381-412 | | ISBN/ISSN: | 9788202853860 | | Emneord: | Beredskap / Forebygging / Jus / Klima / Kommuner / Miljørett / Miljøvern / Naturrett / Naturskade | | Note: | Open access: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Kapittel 11. | | Innhold: | Målet med dette kapittelet er å drøfte klimatilpasning som tiltak mot flomrisiko i skjæringsfeltet mellom forebygging, restrisiko og beredskap. Sammenhengene mellom forebygging og beredskap er preget av betydelig usikkerhet. Slik usikkerhet gjør det krevende å foreta risikovurderinger og analyser som kan danne grunnlag for relevante tiltak. Klimatilpasning består i all hovedsak av forebyggende tiltak, men fordi vi alltid har en restrisiko (usikkerhet), vil klimatilpasning også måtte inkludere beredskapstiltak. Beredskapen vil være knyttet til den usikkerheten som fremtidig ekstremvær måtte medføre, og den restrisikoen som klimatilpasningstiltakene ikke klarer å ta høyde for.
Abstract
Climate change affects extreme weather such as precipitation and subsequent flooding. Flooding has become a major climate risk in Norway. The major floods in 1967, 1987 and 1995, as well as extreme weather Hans in August 2023, resulted in severe material damage to homes, roads, bridges and other critical infrastructure. Residents lost their homes and jobs. However, such damages are not only due to extreme weather, but also to insufficient quality in planning and robustness in local communities, insufficient information and coordination within the field of climate change adaptation, as well as preparedness that is not in line with the current risk picture. All forecasts indicate that the frequency of extreme weather will increase, and that we will move towards warmer, wetter and wilder weather.
The purpose of this chapter is to discuss climate change adaptation as a measure for flood risk in the intersection between prevention and preparedness. The climate change adaptation work is very much about societal development and involves both
preventive measures that seek to reduce the likelihood of unwanted events, and preparedness measures to reduce the consequences of those events that we cannot prevent. Uncertainty in climate forecasts, especially locally, makes it difficult to carry out risk assessments and analyses that can form the basis for prevention and preparedness.
Municipalities have a central role in climate change adaptation work in Norway. However, there are major challenges linked to municipalities’ capacity and ability to take a risk-based approach to prevention and preparedness. By considering floods in recent years, the connection between prevention, residual risk and preparedness is thus examined. Climate change adaptation mainly consists of preventive measures, but as we always have a residual risk, climate change adaptation should also include preparedness. Future climate change adaptation will place greater demands on risk and vulnerability analyses, legislation and societal planning in Norway, as well as on municipalities’ capacity to handle future extreme weather.
Keywords: klimatilpasning, flom, usikkerhet, ROS-analyse | | Del av verk: | Flom, skred og juss |
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